What’s to Love about America?
Words Addy Smith
Monday, August 16th, 2010 at 12:12 pm
While you were checked out, Lady Liberty got a makeover.
While most of us were preoccupied with terrorists, house-flipping, and finding a more suitable president, the shape of America was radically changing under our feet.
If the 2000s was the “Lost Decade,” the Twenty-Teens will be “a decade of reckoning” for five seismic demographic shifts.
According to a new study from the Brookings Institution, Our Great Experiment is taking some of the most interesting turns in its history – and it’s taking them all at once. If you read no further, at least take the study’s title to heart: State of Metropolitan America: On the Front Lines of Demographic Transformation. The Revolution Is Live.
Offering sober inspiration, each paragraph of this 172 page monster boasts bold new commentary on nine core categories: Population and Migration; Race & Ethnicity; Immigration; Age; Households & Families; Educational Attainment; Work; Income and Poverty; and Commuting. Without understanding these trends, we would continue to see the world from an outdated perspective, unable to address the new challenges ahead. This is basically the underlying philosophy of our census; while the results of the 2010 Census have yet to be analyzed, think of this report as the exit poll.
State of Metropolitan America is a three-fold analysis. The first analysis is at the all-important regional level, examining the 100 largest U.S. metros on a battery of granular criteria, from “net international migration since 2000″ to “change in wage inequality by gender.” Using the report’s companion interactive map, data junkies can compare our region (1.65 million; 34th largest) with 99 others.
The study then assembles seven metro area types from emergent national patterns: Diverse Giants; Skilled Anchors; Next Frontiers; New Heartlands; Industrial Cores; Border Growths; and Mid-Sized Magnets. (Care to guess where Hampton Roads fits? Read on.)
At the national level, the numbers can be disorienting – even for a person who considered himself up-to-date date with current events. I might as well forget everything I learned in social studies… that was so last century. The report concludes that five new realities have taken hold in the past decade. Together, the implications amount to a sea-change for our notions of community.
As we dream of a brighter tomorrow, let’s start by understanding where we are today:
New Reality #1: Growth and Outward Expansion. Bucking the trend in most other developed nations, the United States population grew significantly, around 10%, to 309 million. Despite economic gloominess, healthy fertility and immigration point to optimism about America’s prospects. The share of the metropolitan population living in lower-density counties – think Suffolk – swelled to 40%. For smart-growth advocates, the unintended silver lining of the real estate bubble-burst was a (temporary?) “retreat from the march toward outer suburbia.”
New Reality #2: Population Diversification. Much of our recent growth is owed to the flow of immigrants. Increasingly from Hispanic societies, one in six Americans is now a first-generation immigrant – in 1970, it was one in twenty. The non-white share of the U.S. population is now 1/3; within the under-18 population that ratio is 1/2. “America’s largely successful history at integrating immigrants into its social fabric remains one of its greatest economic and societal strengths,” the report notes. Over half of Hampton Roads’ foreign-born population are naturalized citizens – the tenth highest share among all metros.
New Reality #3: Aging of the Population. The combined number of baby boomers and seniors exceeded 117 million (38%), and the “age tsunami” is causing waves of speculation about its effects on our current systems. Of special concern is where people are aging: large metros are aging faster than the rest of the country, and consequently, “their single-person households are growing … especially in suburban communities that were not designed with these populations in mind.” (Curious about the backfill? For the first time, a majority of immigrants now live in the suburbs.)
New Reality #4: Uneven Higher Educational Attainment. With 1 in 3 American adults holding a post-secondary degree – up from 1 in 4 in 1990 – our country remains one of the most-educated countries on earth. But educational attainment is lower in young adults and most notably within African American and Hispanic groups: the gap in share of these groups with a bachelor’s degree – 15% – to whites and Asians – 32% – is widening, and set to hit 20% this year.
New Reality #5: Income Polarization. Often cited by the Obama camp, the economic shockwaves of the 2000s were “not kind” to the average American household, whose inflation-adjusted income fell by more than $2,000. Moreover, it was low- and mid-wage workers whose incomes fell hardest; on average, high wage workers (90th percentile and above) actually saw incomes rise more than 3%. These “appear to be longer-run, structural changes,” the reports makes known, “calling into question the sufficiency of overall macroeconomic growth … for improving living standards for most Americans.” A bright spot here for our region, Hampton Roads was one of just five metros to see real income gains across all three categories.
Each of these five new realities probably deserves its own in-depth article, exploring national trends and the consequences for our region. For now, here are a few more numbers to contemplate over a beer:
67 Number of primary cities (not including surrounding counties) experiencing population increases between 2000-2008
0.7% – Hampton Roads population increase in primary cities (#64)
83% Non-white share of population growth, United States, 2000 to 2008
10.9% Increase in non-white population in Hampton Roads (#88)
16% Share of population that is foreign born, 100 largest metro areas, 2008
54% Share of foreign born population that are naturalized citizens in Hampton Roads (#10)
49% Growth in the 55-to-64 year-old population, 2000-2010
-0.6% Decrease in child population (under 18) since 2000 in Hampton Roads (#68)
21% Share of married couples with children households in 2008 (28% live alone)
12% Increase in married couples with children households in Hampton Roads since 2000
32%/15% Shares of white and Asian/Hispanic and black adults with bachelor’s degree, 2008
89% Share of population in Hampton Roads with at least a high school diploma (#23)
5 Metro areas in which wages increased for low-, middle-, and high-wage workers, 1999 to 2008. Hampton Roads is among these five.
-$2,241 Change in real median household income, 1999 to 2008
3.9% Increase in median household income in Hampton Roads (#6)
5% Share of workers commuting by public transit, 2008 (highest in over 40 years)
4% Workers working at home in Hampton Roads (#42)
And what type of metro area is Hampton Roads? It hit me like a bag of bricks. Over my time writing here, I hope to explore some of the opportunities our situation presents.
“Industrial Cores are in some ways the most demographically disadvantaged of the metropolitan types. These 18 metro areas are largely older industrial centers of the Northeast, Midwest, and Southeast. Their populations are slower-growing, less diverse, and less educated than national averages, and significantly older than the large metropolitan average. These metro areas lost population in the aggregate in the 2000s.”
ABOUT THE WRITER
Addy Smith is a first-time writer, long-time fan of AltDaily. When he’s not building tree houses, light houses or dog houses, his sharp cravats are commanding attention at a pretty cool little company that gives him money just for being himself. His work takes him all over this great country of ours, and occasionally around the world, in search of better mousetraps. A graduate of William & Mary, Addy has lived in Norfolk 5 years. He is against stone throwing, regardless of housing situation.
Other posts by Addy Smith.
Other posts by Addy Smith.












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